2025-08-12_scaling-the-memory-wall-the-rise-and-roadmap-of-hbm::HBM25-0029

① SA Source

Context Before

image

Hynix’s HBM3E base die. Source: SK Hynix

Evidence

First, the base die will move to a modern logic process. Samsung can manufacture this with their logic/foundry capability, but this is beyond what the pure memory manufacturers like Hynix and Micron can do internally, so this will be manufactured by TSMC.

Context After

More of the area of the base die can be utilized to add in significant functionality with various custom base die configurations. Tying this back to the discussion on the importance of shoreline -** there is a huge amount of untapped shoreline real estate that exists on the HBM base die of today which is going to be unleashed from HBM4 onwards.**

We expect Nvidia and AMD to come out with their custom HBM implementations with HBM4, with other accelerator designers likely to only have a custom base die implementation by HBM4E in the 2027 timeframe.

② Atomic Claim

HBM4 base die 將轉向 modern logic process;Hynix/Micron 需依賴外部 foundry,SemiAnalysis 指向 TSMC。

  • Epistemic Mode: EXPECTED
  • Mapping Status: COMPLETE

③ Semantic Frame

{
  "frame_type": "NARY_RELATION",
  "participants": [
    {
      "node": {
        "id": "04_knowledge_base/HBM4",
        "label": "HBM4"
      },
      "role": "memory"
    },
    {
      "node": {
        "id": "04_knowledge_base/Logic Process",
        "label": "Logic Process"
      },
      "role": "process"
    },
    {
      "node": {
        "id": "02_companies/2330 台積電",
        "label": "TSMC"
      },
      "role": "foundry"
    },
    {
      "node": {
        "id": "02_companies/000660",
        "label": "Hynix"
      },
      "role": "memory_vendor"
    },
    {
      "node": {
        "id": "02_companies/MU",
        "label": "Micron"
      },
      "role": "memory_vendor"
    }
  ],
  "qualifiers": {
    "condition_text": null,
    "numeric_mentions": [],
    "temporal_mentions": []
  },
  "relation_type": "HBM4_BASE_DIE_FOUNDRY_MODEL"
}

④ Canonical Entity Mapping

RoleSurface LabelCanonical Target
memoryHBM4HBM4
processLogic Process04_knowledge_base/Logic Process
foundryTSMC02_companies/2330 台積電
memory_vendorHynix000660
memory_vendorMicronMU

⑤ Human Review

請在 Properties 逐項確認:

  • 原文 → Atomic Claim 是否忠實
  • Atomic Claim → Semantic Frame 是否忠實
  • Canonical Entity mapping 是否正確
  • Epistemic mode 是否保留原文語氣
  • 最後選擇 review_action

Review state

Markdown 內文不是正式 approval。只有 Apply bridge 寫入的 Decision Ledger event 才是正式決策。